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But one of these weeks will be spectacular. There is no value in picking a guy who hasn't played a PGA Tour event since last summer and missed the cut. His five top-10 finishes since July arent fluky: They stem from top-tier iron play and overall tee-to-green performance. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. 2. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. 1, but Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm can make an argument for being the best. Gordons just as long as Mitchell (averages over 307 yards off the tee), so I think hes worth the flier. He's been able to consistently find himself in the mix thanks to his impeccable accuracy. Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR . Hell see a reprieve in this weaker field and he should be brimming with confidence. It feels like Lee has been on the verge of a breakout for a while and this week could be the opportunity for him. Coastal winds can be a contributing factor to this, as well. From Pat Mayo, Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National analyst: Based on the amount of times he contended in 2020, its rather shocking Scheffler didnt break through and win. Not only did he top 10 here a year ago, this years field has lost some of its star power compared to recent years, so look for Lee to be in the mix on Sunday. Since 2020, for players with at least seven measured rounds on Poa, Jonas Blixt, Justin Suh, Zac Blair, Kevin Kisner, Brice Garnett, Matt Kuchar, and Maverick McNealy are all averaging +0.9 SG:PUTT per round on Poa greens. Before you lock in your PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open, you'll want to see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure. The Florida-based writer knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour and how the players' games fit the courses. The former American Express winner has a proven track record of delivering at water-intensive golf courses that place an emphasis on middle-iron play, with a runner-up and a 16th at TPC Twin Cities, a 22nd at TPC Sawgrass, a 24th at TPC Southwind, and a 27th here at PGA National. Anyone who has followed Holliman's predictions is way up on their golf picks. The ball-striking has been really good lately, and he can scramble and putt as well as anyone here, which can be clutch given how difficult of a test this can be. This mitigates the advantage of the premier drivers in the world, aka most of the elite players, and combined with a lack of elite golfers at the top end in this event, it has opened the door for long-shot winners. Maybe the stage is too big for him over here. He is in the top 35 in every strokes gained category, including 13th around the green and 21st putting. RELATED: The 9 bets you should make right now for 2021. The Northern Irishman was actually down by 10 through two holes Sunday but stormed back to claim the title. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Hence the extra consideration for SG: Around The Green. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Now, were finally catching fire again, with Gdula cashing another winner at the WM Phoenix Open (Scottie Scheffler, 13-1) and Rick Gehman correctly predicting Jon Rahms Genesis Invitational victory at +750. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Why an early morning par from a club pro to make the cut at Bay Hill made seven other tour pros very, very happy, Players 2023: The Bomb and Gouge era is over. All Rights Reserved. It . Holliman says he has learned from his mistakes and is fully behind Rahm this week at Riviera. Varner was a first-round leader twice in 2020, joining Collin Morikawa, Russell Knox and Sebastian Munoz as the only golfers to accomplish that feat more than once last year. One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open is J.T. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. He also became the first international winner at of this event since Vijay Singh in 2004. "He just keeps hanging around," Holliman says, "but he's rarely a true threat." (Subscribe for video or audio).Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Chris Kirk (30-1, DraftKings) Is this a number we want to bet Chris Kirk at, or think he can realistically win at? Seriously. Matchup Results from the Genesis Invitational: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-130) over Im); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-110) over Burns); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Cantlay (-111) over Morikawa); Gehman: PUSH (Hovland (-120) over Young); Mayo: 0 for 1; Powers: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-5-0 (up 5.1 units); Gehman: 9-5-2 (up 3.01 units); Lack: 4-3-0 (up 0.7 units); Powers: 8-8-0 (down 0.37 units); Mayo: 7-8-0 (down 1.56 units); Caddie: 7-9-0 (down 2.46 units); Gdula: 5-10-1 (down 5.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Honda Classic. Please play responsibly. Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. From Gdula: This might be a name unfamiliar to some casual fans. For the Genesis Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including one priced around 30-1. I would expect that to regress massively, especially on Bermudagrass, a surface that has historically been Svenssons worst over the years. From Gdula: Munoz is one of the most balanced golfers in the world. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Adam Scott (+490, FanDuel) A course history play for me on Adam Scott, who finished T-4 here last year, won here in 2020 and boasts the best SG/total numbers at. Chris Kirk: Kirk missed the cut at Phoenix in somewhat surprising fashion, but I expect a bounceback. Who wins the 2023 Sony Open, and who are the top players to target for your Fantasy picks? When your one-elite skill (driving) is one of the most valuable a golfer can possess, its really only a matter of time before enough putts fall to stand in the winners circle. That value ratio was third-best on tour, behind only Joel Dahmen and Ryan Palmer of all golfers with at least 20 starts. The 2023 The Honda Classic is here, and we're back with our PGA Tour expert picks and betting tips for the PGA Tour event at PGA Natonal's Champion Course in Palm Beach Gardens, Fla. Every week, we share our PGA Tour player rankings, and they are agnostic of competition. With the $20 million purse on the line . Our betting panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from PGA National; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; Gdula and your two authorstends to run hot once one of us hits an outright. section: | slug: 2023-genesis-invitational-fantasy-golf-rankings-picks-sleepers-back-jon-rahm-avoid-xander-schauffele | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | 3. This is strange for a player with plus distance and minus accuracy, however four of his best five career finishes have come here at Pebble (T2, T5), Sony (T7), and The Heritage (T4). Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Here are our 2023 The Honda Classic rankings and expert picks, as we do each week of the PGA Tour season. Plus, Bubba has his Bubba Tracks, (Riviera, Austin Country Club, TPC River Highlands and Augusta National) where hell always be live at a decent price a few times a year, regardless of form. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. His recent performance backs that up, as he has four victories and seven top-five finishes in his past nine worldwide events. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. McClure's optimal PGA DFS strategy also includes rostering Sungjae Im at $10,300 on DraftKings and $11,800 on FanDuel. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Honda Classic. "He has a lot of ground to make up," Holliman said, "but he is the most well-rounded player in this field, so if anyone can do it, he can." His last eight starts on the DP World Tour have all yielded top-13 finishes with five top-fours during that run. Here are our. 8. The irons just arent what they used to be for him. The tournament tees off Thursday across three courses in La Quinta, Calif., and the average winning score over the past 10 years is 24-under par. Its tough trusting Merritt on a weekly basis since he tends to lose one facet of his game every start. Pebble Beach can switch from easy to frustratingly difficult with a wind shift. Before setting your Fantasy golf rankings or making any 2023 American Express picks, you need to see the Fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine Fantasy expert Jim Holliman. The 29-year-old has finished in the top 10 three times in five events this season, but only one was in the top five. Im secured a T-13 finish at last week's Sentry Tournament of Champions and he'll enter this week's event confident he can have another strong showing in Hawaii. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Fading Hideki Matsuyama was also the right move, as the defending champ barely cracked the top 50. Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. Kisner and Dahmen are making their first starts of 2023. Abraham Ancer played in the final group of the Masters in November, but he's still looking for his first PGA Tour victory. On the other hand, the expert says Cantlay has just the kind of well-rounded game that he needs to succeed in The American Express. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Scheffler finished the year ranked fifth in strokes gained/off the tee and 13th in SG/tee-to-green. I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Short-iron specialists, regardless of distance, consistently perform the best on an annual basis at all three courses. He was in the top 10 in every one. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Hes in great company as the others are Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay. Thats normally his bread and butter so to see him struggle there is raising massive red flags. Ball-strikers who can putt at even a field-average baseline can have value week in and week out. He can keep putting up strong finishes and chip away until he nets a win (most likely a week with Bermuda greens). In my opinion, Wise is a top-five player in this field, behind only Sungjae Im, Shane Lowry and Billy Horschel, and we are catching him at a more than fair price due to his slow start to the season. Gehman: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Ive probably spent more money on Aaron Wise than anyone on the planet and not even I can get there this week. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. My guy Joe Idone (@TourPicks on Twitter, go follow him if you dont already) is the king of the Honda Classic, and Denny is his guy hes picking Denny Dirt to break through this week, and Im completely on board. He gains 0.66 strokes putting on this surface each round, per the RickRunGood.com golf database the best mark in the field. NeSmiths more of a daily fantasy target on FanDuel than someone who is knocking at the door for a victory, but all of the underlying data is there to believe in a strong season. Top 2023 Sony Open PGA DFS picks One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open is J.T. 6. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. This is The Loop, a refreshing mix of everything you love to talk about around golf, with the only rule that you don't take yourself or the game too seriously. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Aaron Wise (25-1, FanDuel) While Aaron Wise was a popular breakout candidate pick at the start of the season, its undeniable that he has not gotten off to the start that many were hoping for. RELATED: Legal gambling on pro golf has surged in recent yearsand there's much more to come. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Adam Svensson (33-1, BetMGM) This week feels like it could be anyone's game in terms of holding the trophy on Sunday. Of his four top-five finishes in 2020, one of them was at a major and two others were in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. But that was on different grass. But as a caddie, I can see Davis playing well for one reason. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. The likes of Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Will Zalatoris also are part of The American Express 2023 field that is among the best in the tournament's 63 years. Each week hosts Christopher Powers, Alex Myers, and Steve Hennessey, along with special guests from across the sports and entertainment worlds, will touch on what's going in the game . Hes one of the longest hitters off-the-tee and is showing improvements both on and around the putting surfaces. Poston at $7,700 on DraftKings and $9,300 on FanDuel. . He's also missed the cut just once in his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour, consistently providing value for those who roster him in their PGA DFS lineups. Gehman: Min Woo Lee (-110) over Matt Kuchar (Bet365) Golf is a global game and Min Woo Lee is crushing it right now. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-fantasy-golf-picks-lineups-advice-rankings-top-golf-expert-says-fade-jon-rahm | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | cashed outright winners the past two weeks, most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. The Honda Classic Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings GOLF Zach Thompson Feb 22, 2023 Article PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for The Honda Classic GOLF Landon Silinsky Feb 22, 2023 Article Honda Classic PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values GOLF Matthew Vincenzi Feb 21, 2023 Article Course history has been strong at Pebble Beach. While Cam Davis appears like hes hurt or is terrible now based on his past few outings. In order to score well at Waialae Country Club, players will need to be accurate off the tee and few do it better than Im. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (PA/OH) or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Bermuda: Russell Knox. Poston. His putter has been lethal during the swing and into the new year, averaging almost +1.5 SG: PUTT over his past 20 rounds. Now, Holliman has ranked his top golfers from the 2023 Genesis Invitational field. When at his best, Tway drives it long so hell be able to club down and hope for more precision around PGA National this week. This golfer is on a roll lately, finishing in the top 15 in three straight tournaments. World Golf Rankings 2022 Players Championship one and done picks, fantasy golf predictions, PGA betting advice from DFS expert Mike McClure has locked in his PGA one and done picks and. Fortunately, the same variance which makes him hilariously untrustworthy keeps his price from ever rising too high. You can find out who it is, and check out all of Holliman's PGA picks, only at SportsLine. Their names? AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. 2023 The Honda Classic: Field | Tournament Model | Rankings| Betting Odds and First Looks | Course History & Current Form | DFS Picks | First-Round Leader Picks | One and Done | Past Results | Cheat Sheet | PGA Tour Event History | Recent Form | Finish Database | Discord. Now, Holliman has ranked his top golfers from the 2023 Genesis Invitational field. Hes also not worth stashing for a bigger event down the road. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. When youre researching the statistics keep this in mind as half the rounds golfers have played historically at this event are not weighted in the Strokes Gained metrics. Green sizes at Pebble Beach at just 3,500 square feet. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA (select parishes)/MD/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OH/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. PGA DFS players entering tournaments, cash games, or 50-50s on FanDuel or DraftKings for the 2023 Sony Open will have plenty of tough choices to make. Ben is an up-and-coming rookie who has played great this year including getting into contention a couple times. We missed out on him last year while he was figuring out his game on the Korn Ferry Tour, but now hes back and hes having himself a nice little year, starting with a top-five finish back in the Fall at the Fortinet and adding a pair of top-17 finishes in 11 starts since. I expect Poston to bounce back from a disappointing performance at Riviera and roll easily over Svensson. DraftKings operates pursuant to an Operating Agreement with iGaming Ontario. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your. Poston actually struck the ball better than Svensson at Riviera, and he now returns to a course that should suit his game. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Void in ONT. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. On average, Ancer cost $8,279 on DraftKings and returned an average of 62.79 DraftKings points per start. Caddie: Ben Griffin (+130, Day 1 three-ball) over Dylan Frittelli and Sean OHair (DraftKings) Griffin at +130 on Bermudagrass seems like a steal. Anyone who has followed Holliman's predictions is way up on their golf picks. PGA Tour Fantasy Golf Select your lineup of 4 starters and two bench players to enter. That's why has finished in the top 10 three straight times, including a runner-up spot in 2021. 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Fantasy golf expert picks One player Gates isn't hesitating to back this week is Cantlay, who doesn't bring great value but will help you win. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our DFS expert's case for playing this breakout star at PGA National. Davis, on the other hand, has MCd three straight times and seems to be a bit lost with every club but the driver right now. Gehman: Sungjae Im This is seemingly a no-brainer. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Since 2000, the leader or co-leader after 54 holes has gone on to win 13 times, including eight of the past ten years. Picks like these could be the difference between winning your PGA DFS contests or going home with nothing. Gdula: Harris English (34-1, FanDuel) Englishs odds shortened up a lot after a T-12 at the Genesis, but almost all of that was from putting. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. See who it is, along with the rest of Holliman's picks, at SportsLine. "It's a matter of when (not if) he gets his first on the PGA Tour," Holliman said of Kim. He just cant find ways to make putts. You can only see his fantasy golf rankings and Genesis Invitational picks at SportsLine. All Rights Reserved. He is coming off a top-10 last week at Riv, which plays very similarly to here with the ball-strikers finishing on top. Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Pebble Beach is annually the course with the shortest average drive on TOUR (264 yards vs. 283 yards) and the one with the fewest amount of drives over 300 yards (nine percent). Schauffele's accuracy could spell trouble on Riviera's tight fairways. Thomas Detry: Why rate Detry so high this week? NeSmith has 98 rounds on the PGA Tour, via FantasyNational, and in those, hes gained strokes tee to green in 50.7 percent of them, as well 62.7 percent of his rounds from approach play, the most important stat of them all. Who are the top PGA Tour players to target for your Genesis Invitational fantasy picks? The issue comes on and around the green for Conners. The 24-year-old's problems have been in majors and on . So we asked these experts to dig through those numbers to give us their predictions for players who are likely to routinely deliver on their odds and fantasy prices for 2021and help put more money in your pockets. In 34 starts since the beginning of the 2018-19 season, Scheffler has lost strokes off the tee to the field only one time. That means there is a lot to consider when making your 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf picks. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Dustin Johnson and J.B. Holmes are the only two players to hit more than 100 drives over 300 yards at Pebble Golf Links during this event. 5. Theres a reason he can be in play for a first-round leader, for FanDuel value, top-10s and even outrights, particularly on Bermuda courses. Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Russell Henley, Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama and Xander Schauffele. Its actually incredible how Conners stacks up in the ball-striking department against the worlds elite. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. If they fall, were really looking at a high-ceiling week. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. And which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. Mayo: Aaron Rai (60-1, DraftKings) Many have noted that PGA National has a track record of crossover with Open Championship and links success. McNealy has long been on the verge of a breakthrough, and tends to do his best work on shorter courses with small greens. Caddie: Lee Hodges (+450, DraftKings) Lee is coming off a great performance at Riviera and like I mentioned earlier, these two courses are very similar in the ball-striking department. January 10, 2022 DFS Golf Picks Digest the data, predictions, and insights from this article to help with your fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open in Hawaii, and check out our PGA Lineup Optimizer to make more informed player selections for your DFS lineups. Fantasy Golf Picks 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers, Full schedule, bracket for 2023 WAC Conference Tournament, Full tee times for Round 3 of Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for March 4, 2023 NFL Combine: Tracking Zay Flowers measurements, drill times, more, Donovan Mitchell, Trae Young, Khris Middleton headline NBA injury report for Saturday, March 4, John Battaglia Memorial Stakes 2023: Post time, live stream, TV channel, horses, odds for Kentucky Derby prep race, Highlight: Hoge was the Round 1 leader after shooting 63, Highlight: Berger moved the wrong way on moving day with a 72, but was seven shots better on Sunday, The Top-11 finishers all gained Driving Distance on the field, The Top-13 finishers all gained with the putter, Highlight: Taylor was the Round 1 leader (by three strokes) after shooting a 63, The Top-10 finishers all gained with the putter (Taylor was the second best putter for the week), Highlight: Mickelson bookended the tournament with 65s and led the field in approach, The top-9 finishers all gained in Good Drives (only four gained in distance), Highlight: Potter fired a 62 on Saturday (best round of the weekend, no one else had a round better than 64), Highlight: Spieth was inside the Top 5 in Good Drives and GIRs for the week, 3 of the Top 9 finishers gained over 50 strokes of distance BUT lost fairways to the field, Highlight: Progressively got better 70-68-67-65, Taylor won despite losing almost a stroke with the putter (the other Top 15 finishers all gained with the flat stick Taylor picked up 10.2 strokes T2G, 2.8 better than anyone else), 6 players scored 105+ DK points Hoge was the only mid-tier option (3 were $7,500 or less and the other 3 were over $9,000 including the two highest priced players), 3 of the Top 4 scorers cost at least $9,700, 4 of the 5 highest priced golfers finished outside the Top 15 in DK scoring, More stars and scrubs each of the Top 6 scorers was priced under $7,500 or over $9,000, Here are the DK price rankings of the Top 3 scorers for the week.